Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.021488 0.023079 0.024736 0.026591 0.028612 0.030751 0.033187
2024-10-27 0.019015 0.021334 0.023874 0.026873 0.030327 0.034193 0.038865
2024-11-03 0.017207 0.019942 0.023057 0.026884 0.031483 0.036864 0.043679
2024-11-10 0.016041 0.019089 0.022669 0.027217 0.032882 0.039761 0.048832
2024-11-17 0.014806 0.018004 0.021860 0.026895 0.033358 0.041460 0.052518
2024-11-24 0.013872 0.017193 0.021291 0.026774 0.034004 0.043333 0.056475
2024-12-01 0.012970 0.016345 0.020594 0.026405 0.034253 0.044644 0.059708
2024-12-08 0.012355 0.015817 0.020258 0.026458 0.035026 0.046655 0.063992
2024-12-15 0.011657 0.015130 0.019661 0.026103 0.035191 0.047805 0.067092
2024-12-22 0.010971 0.014418 0.018983 0.025584 0.035071 0.048513 0.069554
2024-12-29 0.010449 0.013898 0.018533 0.025344 0.035314 0.049730 0.072823
2025-01-05 0.009968 0.013408 0.018095 0.025087 0.035501 0.050850 0.075991
2025-01-12 0.009417 0.012798 0.017463 0.024522 0.035206 0.051240 0.078059
2025-01-19 0.009155 0.012584 0.017383 0.024757 0.036123 0.053527 0.083334
2025-01-26 0.008844 0.012284 0.017160 0.024762 0.036676 0.055267 0.087819
2025-02-02 0.008640 0.012129 0.017137 0.025064 0.037699 0.057803 0.093825
2025-02-09 0.008287 0.011738 0.016746 0.024772 0.037753 0.058754 0.097138
2025-02-16 0.008006 0.011441 0.016482 0.024661 0.038088 0.060178 0.101377
2025-02-23 0.007686 0.011072 0.016090 0.024327 0.038029 0.060923 0.104423
2025-03-02 0.007480 0.010868 0.015943 0.024375 0.038605 0.062781 0.109658
2025-03-09 0.007198 0.010535 0.015580 0.024053 0.038532 0.063494 0.112765
2025-03-16 0.006896 0.010161 0.015140 0.023581 0.038174 0.063672 0.114839
2025-03-23 0.006669 0.009896 0.014860 0.023363 0.038243 0.064616 0.118480